Pearl Global Industries Limited DCF Valuation

PGIL · Textiles · Current price ₹1,295

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DocStoX fair value
₹2,287
low confidence · 45/100
Current price
₹1,188
Upside to fair value
+92.6%
Estimate range
₹2,058 – ₹2,516
5Y profit growth
+73.9%
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Pearl Global Industries Limited cash-flow valuation

Our engine did not use a discounted-cash-flow model for Pearl Global Industries Limited. It routes each business to the methods that suit it, and a DCF is a poor lens where cash-flow forecasts are fragile or the business is capital-structure driven. The methods it did use, and why, are set out below. Our published estimate is ₹2,287.

Try your own assumptions

Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with Pearl Global Industries Limited's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Pearl Global Industries Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Low confidence45/100

The inputs are thin or the models disagree sharply. This is our least reliable kind of estimate, so read the range rather than the single number.

Estimate range ₹2,058 – ₹2,516

Why this method for this business

Normalized earnings and relative PE are appropriate for a cyclical textile business with mid-cycle earnings and sector-based valuation.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Normalized earnings (mid-cycle EV/EBITDA)
₹2,36370% weight

Cyclical valued off mid-cycle earnings and a through-cycle EV/EBITDA (§6.6)

Fair multiple (P/E)
₹2,13030% weight
  • ev_ebitda was excluded due to insufficient data quality for reliable EV/EBITDA calculation

What was missing

  • lack of forward EPS estimates
  • limited historical EV/EBITDA data
  • insufficient analyst dispersion data for risk assessment

What drives it

23 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
Revenue (TTM)
5,025 ₹ cr

computed

Net debt
943 ₹ cr

computed

Shares outstanding
4,62,77,666

computed

Sector-median P/E
27.55×

peer-median

Peers used
9

peer-median

EPS (TTM)
42.67 ₹/share

computed

Own-history median P/E
44.24×

reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
EBITDA margin (cycle median)
9%

computed (≤5y median)

Through-cycle EV/EBITDA
26.27×

own-history (median of 4y)

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Term: quality
-4.2%

quality 47/100 (weak/erratic returns) → discount

Term: growth
+40.0%

durable ~51% CAGR (ROCE 13% > hurdle) → premium

Term: capital_allocation
+9.6%

capital allocation: rising ROCE funded by strong FCF → premium

Term: financial_strength
+3.1%

financial strength: low leverage (D/E 0.6) → mild premium

Term: history
+18.2%

history: market paid +61% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)

Term: sector_rerating
+0.0%

sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used

Term: rate_regime
+1.2%

rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple

Term: risk
+0.0%

risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Mid-cycle EBITDA
452.2 ₹ cr

computed

Enterprise value
11,879.7 ₹ cr

computed

Net debt basis
gross (cash unavailable)

note: net debt approximated by gross debt (cash unavailable)

Premium vs sector
+81.2%

fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)

Fair-multiple confidence
85%

data completeness + term agreement

Fair P/E
49.91×

sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Pearl Global Industries Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Pearl Global Industries Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.