Punjab National Bank DCF Valuation

PNB · Financial Services · Current price ₹116.3

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DocStoX fair value
₹87
medium confidence · 62/100
Current price
₹117
Upside to fair value
-25.5%
Estimate range
₹78 – ₹129
Cash-flow model
₹129
Residual income (excess return on book) · 30% weight
5Y profit growth
+47.0%
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Punjab National Bank cash-flow valuation

Our residual income (excess return on book) values Punjab National Bank at ₹129 per share. Book value plus the present value of returns earned above the 10.6% cost of equity. It carries 30% of the weight in our published estimate of ₹87. A discounted cash flow is only as good as the cash-flow path it assumes, so the assumptions behind it are listed in full below.

Try your own assumptions

Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with Punjab National Bank's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Punjab National Bank. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence62/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹78 – ₹129

Why this method for this business

The justified P/B and residual income models are most appropriate for a public sector bank like PNB, as they focus on book value and returns relative to cost of equity, which are critical for evaluating banks.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Justified P/B (Gordon)
₹8270% weight

9% sustainable ROE vs 10.6% cost of equity justifies ~0.6× book

Residual income (excess return on book)
₹12930% weight

Book value plus the present value of returns earned above the 10.6% cost of equity

  • relative_pb was excluded due to lack of clear peer comparison data and the absence of a strong moat

What was missing

  • Lack of detailed peer comparison data for relative P/B
  • Limited forward EBITDA estimates for precise valuation

What drives it

11 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
ROE (normalized)
8.6%

computed

Dividend payout
24.6%

ratios/derived

Book value / share
136 ₹

reported

MacroEconomy-wide input, not company-specific.
Cost of equity
10.6%

building-block

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
Near-term growth g
6.5%

computed

High-growth years
10 yrs

building-block

Terminal ROE
8.6%

faded toward COE + moat

Terminal growth g
5%

computed

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Moat
None

computed

Excess-return horizon
3 yrs

computed

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Justified P/B
0.61×

two-stage Gordon

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Punjab National Bank: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Punjab National Bank

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.