P N GADGIL JEWELLERS LTD Fair Value

PNGJL · Consumer Durables · Current price ₹606.5

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DocStoX fair value
₹873
high confidence · 72/100
Current price
₹613
Upside to fair value
+42.4%
Estimate range
₹786 – ₹985
Quality score
5.8 / 10
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Is P N GADGIL JEWELLERS LTD undervalued?

We estimate the fair value of P N GADGIL JEWELLERS LTD at ₹873 per share, against a market price of ₹613. That puts the share price about +42.4% below our estimate, at high confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate comes from 2 methods: Fair multiple (P/E) (₹845), PEG (growth-implied P/E) (₹985). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.

The range around this estimate

Our estimate for P N GADGIL JEWELLERS LTD spans ₹786 to ₹985. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for P N GADGIL JEWELLERS LTD. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

High confidence72/100

The models agree and the inputs are well covered. Treat this as our firmest estimate.

Estimate range ₹786 – ₹985

Why this method for this business

The business is asset-light and has a durable moat, making relative PE and PEG the most appropriate models for valuing its earnings power.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Fair multiple (P/E)
₹84570% weight
PEG (growth-implied P/E)
₹98530% weight
  • dcf: Not suitable for a consumer discretionary business with volatile earnings and no clear cash flow patterns

What was missing

  • Lack of historical P/E data for the company
  • Limited forward estimates for EBITDA and EPS

What drives it

16 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
Sector-median P/E
16.53×

peer-median

Peers used
10

peer-median

EPS (TTM)
32.84 ₹/share

computed

Earnings growth
63.4% CAGR

computed

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Term: quality
-0.8%

quality 54/100 (about average) → neutral

Term: growth
+40.0%

durable ~27% CAGR (ROCE 20% > hurdle) → premium

Term: capital_allocation
+9.4%

capital allocation: rising ROCE funded by strong FCF → premium

Term: financial_strength
+1.1%

financial strength: moderate leverage (D/E 0.9) → neutral

Term: history
+0.0%

history: no reliable own-history P/E → not used

Term: sector_rerating
+0.0%

sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used

Term: rate_regime
+1.2%

rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple

Term: risk
+0.0%

risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Premium vs sector
+55.6%

fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)

Fair-multiple confidence
64%

data completeness + term agreement

Fair P/E
25.72×

sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple

Growth-implied P/E
30×

min(growth, 30)

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for P N GADGIL JEWELLERS LTD: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

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DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.