PTC India Limited DCF Valuation

PTC · Power · Current price ₹149.89

Full stock page
DocStoX fair value
₹404
low confidence · 45/100
Current price
₹153
Upside to fair value
+164.4%
Estimate range
₹363 – ₹444
Cash-flow model
₹404
Discounted cash flow (2-stage) · 70% weight
5Y profit growth
+9.4%
Model it yourself — DCF Calculator
Opens pre-filled with PTC India Limited's latest numbers.

PTC India Limited cash-flow valuation

Our discounted cash flow (2-stage) values PTC India Limited at ₹404 per share. Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path. It carries 70% of the weight in our published estimate of ₹404. A discounted cash flow is only as good as the cash-flow path it assumes, so the assumptions behind it are listed in full below.

Try your own assumptions

Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with PTC India Limited's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for PTC India Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Low confidence45/100

The inputs are thin or the models disagree sharply. This is our least reliable kind of estimate, so read the range rather than the single number.

Estimate range ₹363 – ₹444

Why this method for this business

DCF is appropriate for a capital-heavy utility with stable cash flows, while EV/EBITDA provides a complementary valuation lens for its asset base and operational efficiency.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Discounted cash flow (2-stage)
₹40470% weight

Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path

EV / EBITDA(not enough data)

required inputs missing

  • Normalized EPS is not reliable due to high debt and volatile earnings
  • FCFE is not suitable due to the company's capital-intensive nature

What was missing

  • Lack of forward EPS estimates
  • Limited analyst coverage
  • Uncertainty in long-term growth assumptions

What drives it

12 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
FCF_0 (normalized)
785 ₹cr

fcf_norm (median ≤5y positive)

Net debt
1,769 ₹cr

gross debt (cash n/a)

MacroEconomy-wide input, not company-specific.
Discount rate (r)
12.9%

COE (building-block)

Beta
0.8

bottom-up industry

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
Stage-1 start growth
9.38%

pat_cagr_5y

Fade shape
gentle

lifecycle Cash-Cow

Terminal growth (g)
5%

macro terminal × quality premium

Stage-1 years
6 y

lifecycle Cash-Cow horizon

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Lifecycle stage
Cash-Cow

forecast engine (L20)

Quality premium
1×

moat None + capital allocation

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Path
FCFE

computed (D/E vs 0.8)

Terminal-value fraction
0.657

PV_TV / (PV_1+PV_TV)

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for PTC India Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 15 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on PTC India Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.