Samrat Forgings Ltd Fair Value

SAMRATFORG · Industrial Products · Current price ₹242

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DocStoX fair value
₹121
low confidence
Current price
₹242
Upside to fair value
-49.9%
Verdict
Avoid
Quality score
2.9 / 10
Valuation methods
MethodFair valueStatus
Residual income₹8214% ROE fading to 15% over ~3 yrs, on ₹83 book
Relative P/E₹209EPS × 35.1 peer-median P/E
Graham floor₹105Conservative floor: √(22.5 × EPS × book value/share)
Analyst targetNo analyst coverage
Model it yourself — Margin of Safety Calculator
Opens pre-filled with Samrat Forgings Ltd's latest numbers.

Is Samrat Forgings Ltd undervalued?

DocStoX estimates the fair value of Samrat Forgings Ltd at ₹121 per share, versus the current market price of ₹242. That puts the stock about -49.9% above our fair-value estimate, which we read as "Avoid". Our confidence in this estimate is low.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate blends 3 independent methods: Residual income (₹82), Relative P/E (₹209), Graham floor (₹105). We weight each by its reliability and skip any method whose inputs look untrustworthy — "no DCF beats a wrong DCF". This is the same deterministic engine that powers DocStoX stock pages; there is no guesswork or AI-generated number here.

Bear, base and bull scenarios

Our scenarios span ₹82 (bear) to ₹121 (base) to ₹209 (bull). A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the base case — the wider the gap, the more room for error in the assumptions.

More on Samrat Forgings Ltd

DocStoX estimates are generated by a deterministic valuation engine from reported financials — for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.