Shivalik Bimetal Controls Limited Intrinsic Value

SBCL · Capital Goods · Current price ₹1,014.3

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DocStoX fair value
₹1,296
medium confidence · 68/100
Current price
₹1,087
Upside to fair value
+19.2%
Estimate range
₹1,166 – ₹1,425
Quality score
4.4 / 10
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Is Shivalik Bimetal Controls Limited undervalued?

We estimate the fair value of Shivalik Bimetal Controls Limited at ₹1,296 per share, against a market price of ₹1,087. That puts the share price about +19.2% below our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate comes from 1 method: Fair multiple (P/E) (₹1,296). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.

The range around this estimate

Our estimate for Shivalik Bimetal Controls Limited spans ₹1,166 to ₹1,425. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.

Margin of safety

Value investors look for a margin of safety: a discount to estimated value that absorbs being wrong. At ₹1,087 against an estimated value of ₹1,296, Shivalik Bimetal Controls Limited trades at +19.2%, i.e. a discount to our estimate. How much margin to demand depends on how much you trust the inputs, which is what the confidence band below is for.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Shivalik Bimetal Controls Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence68/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹1,166 – ₹1,425

Why this method for this business

SBCL is an industrial manufacturer with stable cash flows and a narrow moat. A relative P/E is appropriate for its earnings power and sector positioning, while EV/EBITDA captures its capital intensity and debt structure.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Fair multiple (P/E)
₹1,29670% weight
EV / EBITDA(not enough data)

required inputs missing

  • dcf is not suitable for a capital-intensive business with uncertain cash flow growth
  • relative_pe is more relevant than EV/EBITDA for a stable, asset-light franchise

What was missing

  • Lack of forward EBITDA estimates
  • Limited analyst coverage
  • No historical EV/EBITDA data for the sector

What drives it

15 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
Sector-median P/E
40.55×

peer-median

Peers used
49

peer-median

EPS (TTM)
18.41 ₹/share

computed

Own-history median P/E
35.11×

reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Term: quality
+7.1%

quality 69/100 (high, stable returns) → premium

Term: growth
+40.0%

durable ~27% CAGR (ROCE 26% > hurdle) → premium

Term: capital_allocation
+10.9%

capital allocation: rising ROCE funded by strong FCF → premium

Term: financial_strength
+7.4%

financial strength: effectively debt-free → premium

Term: history
-4.0%

history: market paid -13% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)

Term: sector_rerating
+0.0%

sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used

Term: rate_regime
+1.2%

rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple

Term: risk
+0.0%

risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Premium vs sector
+73.5%

fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)

Fair-multiple confidence
85%

data completeness + term agreement

Fair P/E
70.37×

sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Shivalik Bimetal Controls Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Shivalik Bimetal Controls Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.