SBI CARDS & PAY SER LTD DCF Valuation

SBICARD · Financial Services · Current price ₹564.2

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DocStoX fair value
₹705
medium confidence · 59/100
Current price
₹655
Upside to fair value
+7.6%
Estimate range
₹634 – ₹922
Cash-flow model
₹922
Residual income (excess return on book) · 30% weight
5Y profit growth
+17.1%
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SBI CARDS & PAY SER LTD cash-flow valuation

Our residual income (excess return on book) values SBI CARDS & PAY SER LTD at ₹922 per share. Book value plus the present value of returns earned above the 10.6% cost of equity. It carries 30% of the weight in our published estimate of ₹705. A discounted cash flow is only as good as the cash-flow path it assumes, so the assumptions behind it are listed in full below.

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Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with SBI CARDS & PAY SER LTD's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for SBI CARDS & PAY SER LTD. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence59/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹634 – ₹922

Why this method for this business

The justified P/B and residual income models are most appropriate for an NBFC like SBICARD, as they focus on sustainable ROE and book value, which are critical for valuing a capital-light, asset-light financial services business.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Justified P/B (Gordon)
₹70560% weight

22% sustainable ROE vs 10.6% cost of equity justifies ~4.3× book

Residual income (excess return on book)
₹92230% weight

Book value plus the present value of returns earned above the 10.6% cost of equity

Relative P/B
₹45710% weight
  • DCF is not suitable for NBFCs due to the high leverage and debt-driven nature of the business
  • EV/EBITDA is not appropriate for a financial services company with a high debt-to-equity ratio

What was missing

  • Lack of forward EBITDA estimates
  • Limited peer data for relative P/B normalization

What drives it

14 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
ROE (normalized)
22%

computed

Dividend payout
7%

ratios/derived

Book value / share
165.2 ₹

reported

Peer-median P/B
2.77×

peer-median

Peers used
10

peer-median

Book value / share
165.24 ₹/share

computed

MacroEconomy-wide input, not company-specific.
Cost of equity
10.6%

building-block

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
Near-term growth g
20.4%

computed

High-growth years
10 yrs

building-block

Terminal ROE
14.6%

faded toward COE + moat

Terminal growth g
5%

computed

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Moat
Wide

computed

Excess-return horizon
20 yrs

computed

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Justified P/B
4.27×

two-stage Gordon

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for SBI CARDS & PAY SER LTD: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on SBI CARDS & PAY SER LTD

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.