Simplex Castings Ltd Fair Value

SIMPLEXCAS · Industrials · Current price ₹519.25

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DocStoX fair value
₹428
low confidence
Current price
₹519
Upside to fair value
-17.5%
Verdict
Expensive
Quality score
5.9 / 10
Valuation methods
MethodFair valueStatus
Residual income₹22726% ROE fading to 13% over ~10 yrs, on ₹139 book
Relative P/E₹910EPS × 35.1 peer-median P/E
Graham floor₹285Conservative floor: √(22.5 × EPS × book value/share)
Analyst targetNo analyst coverage
Model it yourself — Margin of Safety Calculator
Opens pre-filled with Simplex Castings Ltd's latest numbers.

Is Simplex Castings Ltd undervalued?

DocStoX estimates the fair value of Simplex Castings Ltd at ₹428 per share, versus the current market price of ₹519. That puts the stock about -17.5% above our fair-value estimate, which we read as "Expensive". Our confidence in this estimate is low.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate blends 3 independent methods: Residual income (₹227), Relative P/E (₹910), Graham floor (₹285). We weight each by its reliability and skip any method whose inputs look untrustworthy — "no DCF beats a wrong DCF". This is the same deterministic engine that powers DocStoX stock pages; there is no guesswork or AI-generated number here.

Bear, base and bull scenarios

Our scenarios span ₹227 (bear) to ₹428 (base) to ₹910 (bull). A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the base case — the wider the gap, the more room for error in the assumptions.

More on Simplex Castings Ltd

DocStoX estimates are generated by a deterministic valuation engine from reported financials — for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.