SIRCA PAINT INDIA LIMITED Fair Value

SIRCA · Consumer Durables · Current price ₹430.5

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DocStoX fair value
₹248
low confidence
Current price
₹431
Upside to fair value
-42.4%
Verdict
Avoid
Quality score
5.9 / 10
Valuation methods
MethodFair valueStatus
Residual income₹9914% ROE fading to 12% over ~20 yrs, on ₹84 book
Relative P/E₹401EPS × 35.0 peer-median P/E
Graham floor₹147Conservative floor: √(22.5 × EPS × book value/share)
Analyst target₹506Street consensus 12-month target price
Model it yourself — Margin of Safety Calculator
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Is SIRCA PAINT INDIA LIMITED undervalued?

DocStoX estimates the fair value of SIRCA PAINT INDIA LIMITED at ₹248 per share, versus the current market price of ₹431. That puts the stock about -42.4% above our fair-value estimate, which we read as "Avoid". Our confidence in this estimate is low.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate blends 4 independent methods: Residual income (₹99), Relative P/E (₹401), Graham floor (₹147), Analyst target (₹506). We weight each by its reliability and skip any method whose inputs look untrustworthy — "no DCF beats a wrong DCF". This is the same deterministic engine that powers DocStoX stock pages; there is no guesswork or AI-generated number here.

Bear, base and bull scenarios

Our scenarios span ₹99 (bear) to ₹248 (base) to ₹506 (bull). A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the base case — the wider the gap, the more room for error in the assumptions.

More on SIRCA PAINT INDIA LIMITED

DocStoX estimates are generated by a deterministic valuation engine from reported financials — for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.