S. P. Apparels Limited Intrinsic Value

SPAL · Textiles · Current price ₹930.45

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DocStoX fair value
₹1,188
medium confidence · 59/100
Current price
₹1,023
Upside to fair value
+16.1%
Estimate range
₹960 – ₹1,306
Quality score
4.4 / 10
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Is S. P. Apparels Limited undervalued?

We estimate the fair value of S. P. Apparels Limited at ₹1,188 per share, against a market price of ₹1,023. That puts the share price about +16.1% below our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate comes from 2 methods: Normalized earnings (mid-cycle EV/EBITDA) (₹1,293), Fair multiple (P/E) (₹960). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.

The range around this estimate

Our estimate for S. P. Apparels Limited spans ₹960 to ₹1,306. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.

Margin of safety

Value investors look for a margin of safety: a discount to estimated value that absorbs being wrong. At ₹1,023 against an estimated value of ₹1,188, S. P. Apparels Limited trades at +16.1%, i.e. a discount to our estimate. How much margin to demand depends on how much you trust the inputs, which is what the confidence band below is for.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for S. P. Apparels Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence59/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹960 – ₹1,306

Why this method for this business

Normalized earnings and relative PE are appropriate for a cyclical business like textiles, where mid-cycle earnings and sector multiples are key valuation drivers.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Normalized earnings (mid-cycle EV/EBITDA)
₹1,29370% weight

Cyclical valued off mid-cycle earnings and a through-cycle EV/EBITDA (§6.6)

Fair multiple (P/E)
₹96030% weight
  • ev_ebitda was excluded due to insufficient data quality for EV/EBITDA inputs

What was missing

  • lack of forward EPS data for more precise normalization
  • limited peer data for EV/EBITDA

What drives it

23 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
Revenue (TTM)
1,578 ₹ cr

computed

Net debt
365.3 ₹ cr

computed

Shares outstanding
2,51,86,033

computed

Sector-median P/E
29.01×

peer-median

Peers used
8

peer-median

EPS (TTM)
41.83 ₹/share

computed

Own-history median P/E
10.37×

reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
EBITDA margin (cycle median)
14%

computed (≤5y median)

Through-cycle EV/EBITDA
16.4×

own-history (median of 5y)

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Anchor correction
peer anchor 29.0x diverges 0.4x from 7yr own-history 10.4x (no size-comparable peer) — anchor blended 0.6 toward own-history → 17.8x

peer-anchor mismatch — deep own-history used instead

Term: quality
+2.4%

quality 60/100 (high, stable returns) → premium

Term: growth
+40.0%

durable ~19% CAGR (ROCE 15% > hurdle) → premium

Term: capital_allocation
-4.1%

capital allocation: falling ROCE / weak cash generation → discount

Term: financial_strength
+5.9%

financial strength: low leverage (D/E 0.3) → mild premium

Term: history
-12.6%

history: market paid -42% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)

Term: sector_rerating
+0.0%

sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used

Term: rate_regime
+1.2%

rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple

Term: risk
+0.0%

risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Mid-cycle EBITDA
220.9 ₹ cr

computed

Enterprise value
3,622 ₹ cr

computed

Premium vs sector
+28.8%

fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)

Fair-multiple confidence
78%

data completeness + term agreement

Fair P/E
22.96×

sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for S. P. Apparels Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 15 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on S. P. Apparels Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.