Subros Limited DCF Valuation

SUBROS · Capital Goods · Current price ₹669

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DocStoX fair value
₹1,362
medium confidence · 60/100
Current price
₹704
Upside to fair value
+93.5%
Estimate range
₹1,226 – ₹1,498
5Y profit growth
+28.6%
Model it yourself — DCF Calculator
Opens pre-filled with Subros Limited's latest numbers.

Subros Limited cash-flow valuation

Our engine did not use a discounted-cash-flow model for Subros Limited. It routes each business to the methods that suit it, and a DCF is a poor lens where cash-flow forecasts are fragile or the business is capital-structure driven. The methods it did use, and why, are set out below. Our published estimate is ₹1,362.

Try your own assumptions

Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with Subros Limited's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Subros Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence60/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹1,226 – ₹1,498

Why this method for this business

Relative P/E and EV/EBITDA are most appropriate for a capital goods company with stable cash flows and a durable moat. DCF is less suitable due to the complexity of capital expenditures and the sensitivity to discount rates.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Fair multiple (P/E)
₹1,36270% weight
EV / EBITDA(not enough data)

required inputs missing

  • dcf: DCF is less suitable for capital goods due to the high capital intensity and sensitivity to discount rates
  • relative_pe: EV/EBITDA is more appropriate for capital goods with stable cash flows

What was missing

  • Lack of forward-looking analyst estimates for EBITDA and EPS
  • Limited data on the company's capital expenditure and reinvestment rates

What drives it

15 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
Sector-median P/E
29.82×

peer-median

Peers used
6

peer-median

EPS (TTM)
25.5 ₹/share

computed

Own-history median P/E
34.46×

reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Term: quality
-0.4%

quality 54/100 (about average) → neutral

Term: growth
+40.0%

durable ~22% CAGR (ROCE 13% > hurdle) → premium

Term: capital_allocation
+11.7%

capital allocation: rising ROCE funded by strong FCF → premium

Term: financial_strength
+8.6%

financial strength: effectively debt-free → premium

Term: history
+4.7%

history: market paid +16% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)

Term: sector_rerating
+0.0%

sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used

Term: rate_regime
+1.2%

rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple

Term: risk
+0.0%

risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Premium vs sector
+79.1%

fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)

Fair-multiple confidence
84%

data completeness + term agreement

Fair P/E
53.41×

sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Subros Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 15 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Subros Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.