Supreme Industries Limited DCF Valuation
SUPREMEIND · Capital Goods · Current price ₹3,595.5
Supreme Industries Limited cash-flow valuation
Our engine did not use a discounted-cash-flow model for Supreme Industries Limited. It routes each business to the methods that suit it, and a DCF is a poor lens where cash-flow forecasts are fragile or the business is capital-structure driven. The methods it did use, and why, are set out below. Our published estimate is ₹3,773.
Try your own assumptions
Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with Supreme Industries Limited's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.
How we got this fair value
Every number below is part of the same estimate for Supreme Industries Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.
Estimate range ₹3,395 – ₹4,150
Why this method for this business
The company operates in the capital goods sector, which is capital-intensive and cyclical. A relative P/E and EV/EBITDA model are appropriate for capturing the earnings power and capital structure of the business.
The models behind the number
Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.
required inputs missing
- dcf: Not suitable for a capital-intensive business with uncertain cash flows and high leverage
- relative_pe: Not used as the primary model due to the need for a more robust valuation framework for capital goods
What was missing
- Lack of forward-looking analyst estimates for EV/EBITDA
- Limited data on capital expenditures and working capital requirements
What drives it
15 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
- Sector-median P/E
- 42.35×
- Peers used
- 5
- EPS (TTM)
- 81.27 ₹/share
- Own-history median P/E
- 36.9×
peer-median
peer-median
computed
reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)
- Term: quality
- +6.3%
- Term: growth
- -5.6%
- Term: capital_allocation
- +2.0%
- Term: financial_strength
- +10.0%
- Term: history
- -3.9%
- Term: sector_rerating
- +0.0%
- Term: rate_regime
- +1.2%
- Term: risk
- +0.0%
quality 68/100 (high, stable returns) → premium
weak ~6% CAGR (ROCE 28% > hurdle) → discount
capital allocation: rising ROCE funded by strong FCF → premium
financial strength: effectively debt-free → premium
history: market paid -13% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)
sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used
rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple
risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)
- Premium vs sector
- +9.6%
- Fair-multiple confidence
- 71%
- Fair P/E
- 46.42×
fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)
data completeness + term agreement
sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple
Who computed this
A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Supreme Industries Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.
Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.
How we value stocks
We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.
Read the full fair-value methodologyMore on Supreme Industries Limited
DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.