Tata Chemicals Limited DCF Valuation

TATACHEM · Chemicals · Current price ₹633.55

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DocStoX fair value
₹762
low confidence · 40/100
Current price
₹612
Upside to fair value
+24.4%
Estimate range
₹685 – ₹838
5Y profit growth
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Tata Chemicals Limited cash-flow valuation

Our engine did not use a discounted-cash-flow model for Tata Chemicals Limited. It routes each business to the methods that suit it, and a DCF is a poor lens where cash-flow forecasts are fragile or the business is capital-structure driven. The methods it did use, and why, are set out below. Our published estimate is ₹762.

Try your own assumptions

Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with Tata Chemicals Limited's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Tata Chemicals Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Low confidence40/100

The inputs are thin or the models disagree sharply. This is our least reliable kind of estimate, so read the range rather than the single number.

Estimate range ₹685 – ₹838

Why this method for this business

Tata Chemicals is a cyclical commodity chemical company, so normalized mid-cycle earnings and EV/EBITDA are the most appropriate models. These models reflect the company's exposure to commodity price cycles and its capital intensity.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Normalized earnings (mid-cycle EV/EBITDA)
₹76270% weight

Cyclical valued off mid-cycle earnings and a through-cycle EV/EBITDA (§6.6)

EV / EBITDA(not enough data)

required inputs missing

  • relative_pe: Not suitable for cyclical commodities
  • normalized_earnings: Already used as primary model

What was missing

  • Forward EPS estimates for 2027
  • Detailed analysis of Kenya's regulatory impact
  • Long-term commodity price forecasts

What drives it

7 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
Revenue (TTM)
14,584 ₹ cr

computed

Net debt
7,774 ₹ cr

computed

Shares outstanding
25,48,35,997

computed

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
EBITDA margin (cycle median)
18%

computed (≤5y median)

Through-cycle EV/EBITDA
10.35×

own-history (median of 5y)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Mid-cycle EBITDA
2,625.1 ₹ cr

computed

Enterprise value
27,182.3 ₹ cr

computed

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Tata Chemicals Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Tata Chemicals Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.