TRANSRAIL LIGHTING LTD Fair Value

TRANSRAILL · Capital Goods · Current price ₹433.45

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DocStoX fair value
₹553
low confidence
Current price
₹433
Upside to fair value
+27.5%
Verdict
Buy
Quality score
6.4 / 10
Valuation methods
MethodFair valueStatus
Residual income₹24320% ROE fading to 12% over ~10 yrs, on ₹170 book
Relative P/E₹982EPS × 32.7 peer-median P/E
Graham floor₹339Conservative floor: √(22.5 × EPS × book value/share)
Analyst target₹950Street consensus 12-month target price
Model it yourself — Margin of Safety Calculator
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Is TRANSRAIL LIGHTING LTD undervalued?

DocStoX estimates the fair value of TRANSRAIL LIGHTING LTD at ₹553 per share, versus the current market price of ₹433. That puts the stock about +27.5% below our fair-value estimate, which we read as "Buy". Our confidence in this estimate is low.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate blends 4 independent methods: Residual income (₹243), Relative P/E (₹982), Graham floor (₹339), Analyst target (₹950). We weight each by its reliability and skip any method whose inputs look untrustworthy — "no DCF beats a wrong DCF". This is the same deterministic engine that powers DocStoX stock pages; there is no guesswork or AI-generated number here.

Bear, base and bull scenarios

Our scenarios span ₹243 (bear) to ₹553 (base) to ₹982 (bull). A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the base case — the wider the gap, the more room for error in the assumptions.

More on TRANSRAIL LIGHTING LTD

DocStoX estimates are generated by a deterministic valuation engine from reported financials — for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.