THE UGAR SUGAR WORKS LTD Fair Value
UGARSUGAR · Fast Moving Consumer Goods · Current price ₹53.69
| Method | Fair value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Residual income | ₹18 | 6% ROE fading to 16% over ~3 yrs, on ₹20 book |
| Relative P/E | ₹36 | EPS × 29.8 peer-median P/E |
| Graham floor | ₹23 | Conservative floor: √(22.5 × EPS × book value/share) |
| Analyst target | — | No analyst coverage |
Is THE UGAR SUGAR WORKS LTD undervalued?
DocStoX estimates the fair value of THE UGAR SUGAR WORKS LTD at ₹24 per share, versus the current market price of ₹54. That puts the stock about -55.7% above our fair-value estimate, which we read as "Avoid". Our confidence in this estimate is low.
How this fair value is calculated
This estimate blends 3 independent methods: Residual income (₹18), Relative P/E (₹36), Graham floor (₹23). We weight each by its reliability and skip any method whose inputs look untrustworthy — "no DCF beats a wrong DCF". This is the same deterministic engine that powers DocStoX stock pages; there is no guesswork or AI-generated number here.
Bear, base and bull scenarios
Our scenarios span ₹18 (bear) to ₹24 (base) to ₹36 (bull). A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the base case — the wider the gap, the more room for error in the assumptions.
More on THE UGAR SUGAR WORKS LTD
DocStoX estimates are generated by a deterministic valuation engine from reported financials — for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.