Usha Martin Limited Intrinsic Value
USHAMART · Capital Goods · Current price ₹483.6
Is Usha Martin Limited undervalued?
We estimate the fair value of Usha Martin Limited at ₹787 per share, against a market price of ₹495. That puts the share price about +59.2% below our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
How this fair value is calculated
This estimate comes from 1 method: Fair multiple (P/E) (₹787). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.
The range around this estimate
Our estimate for Usha Martin Limited spans ₹709 to ₹866. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.
Margin of safety
Value investors look for a margin of safety: a discount to estimated value that absorbs being wrong. At ₹495 against an estimated value of ₹787, Usha Martin Limited trades at +59.2%, i.e. a discount to our estimate. How much margin to demand depends on how much you trust the inputs, which is what the confidence band below is for.
How we got this fair value
Every number below is part of the same estimate for Usha Martin Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.
Estimate range ₹709 – ₹866
Why this method for this business
Usha Martin is a capital-intensive industrial manufacturer with cyclical revenue patterns. A relative P/E is appropriate for comparing its earnings power to peers, while EV/EBITDA captures its capital structure and operational efficiency.
The models behind the number
Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.
required inputs missing
- dcf: Not suitable for a cyclical industrial business with volatile cash flows
- fair multiple (P/E): Already used in relative PE model
What was missing
- Lack of forward EPS estimates
- Limited analyst coverage for precise valuation
What drives it
16 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
- Sector-median P/E
- 41.57×
- Peers used
- 32
- EPS (TTM)
- 16.64 ₹/share
- Own-history median P/E
- 20.77×
peer-median
peer-median
computed
reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)
- Anchor correction
- peer anchor 41.6x diverges 0.5x from 6yr own-history 20.8x (no size-comparable peer) — anchor blended 0.6 toward own-history → 29.1x
- Term: quality
- -0.8%
- Term: growth
- +40.0%
- Term: capital_allocation
- +15.0%
- Term: financial_strength
- +10.0%
- Term: history
- -8.6%
- Term: sector_rerating
- +0.0%
- Term: rate_regime
- +1.2%
- Term: risk
- +0.0%
peer-anchor mismatch — deep own-history used instead
quality 54/100 (about average) → neutral
durable ~19% CAGR (ROCE 13% > hurdle) → premium
capital allocation: rising ROCE funded by strong FCF → premium
financial strength: effectively debt-free → premium
history: market paid -29% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)
sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used
rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple
risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)
- Premium vs sector
- +62.6%
- Fair-multiple confidence
- 83%
- Fair P/E
- 47.31×
fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)
data completeness + term agreement
sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple
Who computed this
A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Usha Martin Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.
Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.
How we value stocks
We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.
Read the full fair-value methodologyMore on Usha Martin Limited
DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.