UTI Asset Management Company Limited Intrinsic Value

UTIAMC · Financial Services · Current price ₹869.45

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DocStoX fair value
₹541
low confidence · 45/100
Current price
₹910
Upside to fair value
-40.5%
Estimate range
₹207 – ₹875
Quality score
3.8 / 10
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Is UTI Asset Management Company Limited undervalued?

We estimate the fair value of UTI Asset Management Company Limited at ₹541 per share, against a market price of ₹910. That puts the share price about -40.5% above our estimate, at low confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate comes from 2 methods: Discounted cash flow (2-stage) (₹207), Fair multiple (P/E) (₹875). These methods disagree materially, so the estimate is their midpoint rather than a weighted blend, and the disagreement is part of the finding. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.

The range around this estimate

Our estimate for UTI Asset Management Company Limited spans ₹207 to ₹875. That range is wide, which is the honest signal here: read the range rather than the single number. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.

Margin of safety

Value investors look for a margin of safety: a discount to estimated value that absorbs being wrong. At ₹910 against an estimated value of ₹541, UTI Asset Management Company Limited trades at -40.5%, i.e. a premium to our estimate. How much margin to demand depends on how much you trust the inputs, which is what the confidence band below is for.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for UTI Asset Management Company Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Low confidence45/100floor: no better than this

The inputs are thin or the models disagree sharply. This is our least reliable kind of estimate, so read the range rather than the single number.

Estimate range ₹207 – ₹875

Why this method for this business

The DCF model is appropriate for valuing a capital-light asset management firm with a durable moat, while the relative P/E model captures market sentiment and peer comparisons.

The models behind the number

These methods disagree materially, so the estimate is their plain midpoint rather than a weighted blend. The disagreement is itself the finding.

Discounted cash flow (2-stage)
₹207equal weight

Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path

Fair multiple (P/E)
₹875equal weight
  • Discounted cash flow (2-stage) is already used, but we refine its assumptions for better accuracy.
  • Other models like EV/EBITDA are not suitable for a capital-light business with strong earnings power.

What was missing

  • Lack of forward-looking analyst estimates for certain periods
  • Limited data on long-term growth assumptions beyond 2027

What drives it

27 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
FCF_0 (normalized)
256 ₹cr

fcf_norm (median ≤5y positive)

Net debt
141 ₹cr

gross debt (cash n/a)

Sector-median P/E
26.7×

peer-median

Peers used
3

peer-median

EPS (TTM)
35.89 ₹/share

computed

Own-history median P/E
17.33×

reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)

MacroEconomy-wide input, not company-specific.
Discount rate (r)
15.53%

COE (building-block)

Beta
1.15

bottom-up industry

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
Stage-1 start growth
5.39%

pat_cagr_5y

Fade shape
linear

lifecycle Mature

Terminal growth (g)
5.39%

macro terminal × quality premium

Stage-1 years
9 y

lifecycle Mature horizon

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Lifecycle stage
Mature

forecast engine (L20)

Quality premium
1.078×

moat Narrow + capital allocation

Term: quality
+0.9%

quality 57/100 (about average) → neutral

Term: growth
-11.3%

weak ~3% CAGR (ROCE 20% > hurdle) → discount

Term: capital_allocation
+2.5%

capital allocation: rising ROCE funded by strong FCF → premium

Term: financial_strength
+10.0%

financial strength: effectively debt-free → premium

Term: history
-10.5%

history: market paid -35% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)

Term: sector_rerating
+0.0%

sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used

Term: rate_regime
+1.2%

rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple

Term: risk
+0.0%

risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Path
FCFE

computed (D/E vs 0.8)

Terminal-value fraction
0.438

PV_TV / (PV_1+PV_TV)

Premium vs sector
-8.7%

fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)

Fair-multiple confidence
65%

data completeness + term agreement

Fair P/E
24.39×

sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for UTI Asset Management Company Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on UTI Asset Management Company Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.