Vikram Solar Limited Fair Value
VIKRAMSOLR · Capital Goods · Current price ₹143.98
Is Vikram Solar Limited undervalued?
We estimate the fair value of Vikram Solar Limited at ₹256 per share, against a market price of ₹167. That puts the share price about +53.4% below our estimate, at low confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
How this fair value is calculated
This estimate comes from 2 methods: Discounted cash flow (2-stage) (₹65), Fair multiple (P/E) (₹447). These methods disagree materially, so the estimate is their midpoint rather than a weighted blend, and the disagreement is part of the finding. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.
The range around this estimate
Our estimate for Vikram Solar Limited spans ₹128 to ₹447. That range is wide, which is the honest signal here: read the range rather than the single number. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.
How we got this fair value
Every number below is part of the same estimate for Vikram Solar Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
The inputs are thin or the models disagree sharply. This is our least reliable kind of estimate, so read the range rather than the single number.
Estimate range ₹128 – ₹447
Why this method for this business
The business is capital-intensive and has a narrow moat, making DCF and relative PE the most appropriate models. EV/EBITDA is excluded due to insufficient data and the nature of the business.
The models behind the number
These methods disagree materially, so the estimate is their plain midpoint rather than a weighted blend. The disagreement is itself the finding.
Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path
- ev_ebitda is excluded due to insufficient data and the capital-heavy nature of the business
What was missing
- Lack of analyst coverage for precise EBITDA margin normalization
- Insufficient historical P/E data for relative PE model
What drives it
26 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
- FCF_0 (normalized)
- 102 ₹cr
- Net debt
- 617 ₹cr
- Sector-median P/E
- 26.7×
- Peers used
- 9
- EPS (TTM)
- 9.86 ₹/share
fcf_norm (median ≤5y positive)
gross debt (cash n/a)
peer-median
peer-median
computed
- Discount rate (r)
- 15.53%
- Beta
- 1.15
COE (building-block)
bottom-up industry
- Stage-1 start growth
- 30%
- Fade shape
- hard
- Terminal growth (g)
- 5.39%
- Stage-1 years
- 12 y
pat_cagr_5y
lifecycle Hyper-Growth
macro terminal × quality premium
lifecycle Hyper-Growth horizon
- Lifecycle stage
- Hyper-Growth
- Quality premium
- 1.077×
- Term: quality
- -1.4%
- Term: growth
- +40.0%
- Term: capital_allocation
- +12.9%
- Term: financial_strength
- +7.7%
- Term: history
- +0.0%
- Term: sector_rerating
- +0.0%
- Term: rate_regime
- +1.2%
- Term: risk
- +0.0%
forecast engine (L20)
moat Narrow + capital allocation
quality 52/100 (about average) → neutral
durable ~45% CAGR (ROCE 19% > hurdle) → premium
capital allocation: rising ROCE funded by strong FCF → premium
financial strength: low leverage (D/E 0.2) → mild premium
history: no reliable own-history P/E → not used
sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used
rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple
risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)
- Path
- FCFE
- Terminal-value fraction
- 0.398
- Premium vs sector
- +69.8%
- Fair-multiple confidence
- 61%
- Fair P/E
- 45.33×
computed (D/E vs 0.8)
PV_TV / (PV_1+PV_TV)
fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)
data completeness + term agreement
sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple
Who computed this
A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Vikram Solar Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.
Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.
How we value stocks
We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.
Read the full fair-value methodologyMore on Vikram Solar Limited
DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.