Welcast Steels Ltd Fair Value

ZWELCAST · Industrial Products · Current price ₹610

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DocStoX fair value
₹1,386
low confidence
Current price
₹610
Upside to fair value
+127.2%
Verdict
Expensive
Quality score
3.1 / 10
Valuation methods
MethodFair valueStatus
Residual income₹362-15% ROE fading to 12% over ~3 yrs, on ₹538 book
Relative P/E₹3,717EPS × 58.3 peer-median P/E
Graham floor₹878Conservative floor: √(22.5 × EPS × book value/share)
Analyst targetNo analyst coverage
Model it yourself — Margin of Safety Calculator
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Is Welcast Steels Ltd undervalued?

DocStoX estimates the fair value of Welcast Steels Ltd at ₹1,386 per share, versus the current market price of ₹610. That puts the stock about +127.2% below our fair-value estimate, which we read as "Expensive". Our confidence in this estimate is low.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate blends 3 independent methods: Residual income (₹362), Relative P/E (₹3,717), Graham floor (₹878). We weight each by its reliability and skip any method whose inputs look untrustworthy — "no DCF beats a wrong DCF". This is the same deterministic engine that powers DocStoX stock pages; there is no guesswork or AI-generated number here.

Bear, base and bull scenarios

Our scenarios span ₹362 (bear) to ₹1,386 (base) to ₹3,717 (bull). A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the base case — the wider the gap, the more room for error in the assumptions.

More on Welcast Steels Ltd

DocStoX estimates are generated by a deterministic valuation engine from reported financials — for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.