Aavas Financiers Limited Fair Value

AAVAS · Financial Services · Current price ₹1,190

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DocStoX fair value
₹989
medium confidence · 61/100
Current price
₹1,275
Upside to fair value
-22.4%
Estimate range
₹890 – ₹1,088
Quality score
4.9 / 10
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Is Aavas Financiers Limited undervalued?

We estimate the fair value of Aavas Financiers Limited at ₹989 per share, against a market price of ₹1,275. That puts the share price about -22.4% above our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate comes from 2 methods: Justified P/B (Gordon) (₹1,014), Residual income (excess return on book) (₹930). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.

The range around this estimate

Our estimate for Aavas Financiers Limited spans ₹890 to ₹1,088. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Aavas Financiers Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence61/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹890 – ₹1,088

Why this method for this business

The justified P/B and residual income models are most appropriate for a housing finance company, which is a NBFC with a focus on sustainable ROE and book value.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Justified P/B (Gordon)
₹1,01470% weight

14% sustainable ROE vs 10.6% cost of equity justifies ~1.8× book

Residual income (excess return on book)
₹93030% weight

Book value plus the present value of returns earned above the 10.6% cost of equity

  • relative_pb was excluded as it lacks a clear peer benchmark for a narrow-moat NBFC

What was missing

  • Lack of forward EBITDA estimates
  • Limited peer benchmark data for P/B ratios

What drives it

11 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
ROE (normalized)
13.9%

computed

Dividend payout
0%

ratios/derived

Book value / share
551.1 ₹

reported

MacroEconomy-wide input, not company-specific.
Cost of equity
10.6%

building-block

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
Near-term growth g
13.9%

computed

High-growth years
10 yrs

building-block

Terminal ROE
12.6%

faded toward COE + moat

Terminal growth g
5%

computed

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Moat
Narrow

computed

Excess-return horizon
10 yrs

computed

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Justified P/B
1.84×

two-stage Gordon

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Aavas Financiers Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Aavas Financiers Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.