CARYSIL LIMITED DCF Valuation

CARYSIL · Consumer Durables · Current price ₹1,019.4

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DocStoX fair value
₹1,682
medium confidence · 60/100
Current price
₹1,162
Upside to fair value
+44.8%
Estimate range
₹1,009 – ₹1,899
5Y profit growth
+20.5%
Model it yourself — DCF Calculator
Opens pre-filled with CARYSIL LIMITED's latest numbers.

CARYSIL LIMITED cash-flow valuation

Our engine did not use a discounted-cash-flow model for CARYSIL LIMITED. It routes each business to the methods that suit it, and a DCF is a poor lens where cash-flow forecasts are fragile or the business is capital-structure driven. The methods it did use, and why, are set out below. Our published estimate is ₹1,682.

Try your own assumptions

Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with CARYSIL LIMITED's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for CARYSIL LIMITED. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence60/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹1,009 – ₹1,899

Why this method for this business

Relative P/E and PEG are appropriate for an asset-light, consumer discretionary business with durable earnings power and a narrow moat. DCF is rejected due to the high sensitivity to growth assumptions and the lack of clear cash flow patterns.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Fair multiple (P/E)
₹1,89970% weight
PEG (growth-implied P/E)
₹86930% weight
  • dcf: rejected due to high sensitivity to growth assumptions and the lack of clear cash flow patterns for a consumer discretionary business

What was missing

  • Lack of forward analyst estimates for key metrics
  • Limited historical data on sector P/E trends
  • No detailed information on capital allocation efficiency

What drives it

17 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
Sector-median P/E
36.42×

peer-median

Peers used
9

peer-median

EPS (TTM)
37.55 ₹/share

computed

Own-history median P/E
27.69×

reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)

Earnings growth
23.2% CAGR

computed

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Term: quality
+0.0%

quality 55/100 (about average) → neutral

Term: growth
+40.0%

durable ~22% CAGR (ROCE 17% > hurdle) → premium

Term: capital_allocation
+1.6%

capital allocation: steady → neutral

Term: financial_strength
+4.0%

financial strength: low leverage (D/E 0.3) → mild premium

Term: history
-7.2%

history: market paid -24% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)

Term: sector_rerating
+0.0%

sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used

Term: rate_regime
+1.2%

rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple

Term: risk
+0.0%

risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Premium vs sector
+38.9%

fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)

Fair-multiple confidence
82%

data completeness + term agreement

Fair P/E
50.58×

sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple

Growth-implied P/E
23.2×

min(growth, 30)

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for CARYSIL LIMITED: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 15 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on CARYSIL LIMITED

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.