Confidence Petroleum India Limited DCF Valuation
CONFIPET · Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels · Current price ₹81.18
Confidence Petroleum India Limited cash-flow valuation
Our discounted cash flow (2-stage) values Confidence Petroleum India Limited at ₹32 per share. Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path. It carries 100% of the weight in our published estimate of ₹32. A discounted cash flow is only as good as the cash-flow path it assumes, so the assumptions behind it are listed in full below.
Try your own assumptions
Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with Confidence Petroleum India Limited's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.
How we got this fair value
Every number below is part of the same estimate for Confidence Petroleum India Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.
Estimate range ₹29 – ₹35
Why this method for this business
DCF is the most appropriate model for Confipet, given its capital-intensive nature and the need to evaluate its intrinsic value through discounted cash flows. The business is in the energy sector, which is cyclical, but the company's stable LPG supply chain and growing market presence justify a DCF approach.
The models behind the number
Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.
Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path
- ev_sales: insufficient data on sales multiples and industry comparables
- Other models are not applicable for a capital-intensive business with uncertain future cash flows
What was missing
- Forward-looking analyst estimates
- Detailed industry comparables for EV/Sales model
What drives it
12 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
- FCF_0 (normalized)
- 69 ₹cr
- Net debt
- 592.5 ₹cr
fcf_norm (median ≤5y positive)
total_debt − cash
- Discount rate (r)
- 14.4%
- Beta
- 1
COE (building-block)
bottom-up industry
- Stage-1 start growth
- 14.63%
- Fade shape
- hard
- Terminal growth (g)
- 4.88%
- Stage-1 years
- 12 y
pat_cagr_5y
lifecycle Hyper-Growth
macro terminal × quality premium
lifecycle Hyper-Growth horizon
- Lifecycle stage
- Hyper-Growth
- Quality premium
- 0.976×
forecast engine (L20)
moat None + capital allocation
- Path
- FCFE
- Terminal-value fraction
- 0.381
computed (D/E vs 0.8)
PV_TV / (PV_1+PV_TV)
Who computed this
A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Confidence Petroleum India Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.
Estimated 15 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.
How we value stocks
We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.
Read the full fair-value methodologyMore on Confidence Petroleum India Limited
DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.