HINDUSTAN AERONAUTICS LTD Intrinsic Value

HAL · Capital Goods · Current price ₹4,799

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DocStoX fair value
₹3,583
low confidence
Current price
₹4,799
Upside to fair value
-25.3%
Verdict
Expensive
Quality score
6.0 / 10
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Is HINDUSTAN AERONAUTICS LTD undervalued?

DocStoX estimates the fair value of HINDUSTAN AERONAUTICS LTD at ₹3,583 per share, versus the current market price of ₹4,799. That puts the stock about -25.3% above our fair-value estimate, which we read as "Expensive". Our confidence in this estimate is low.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate blends 4 independent methods: Residual income (₹1,455), Relative P/E (₹7,602), Graham floor (₹1,372), Analyst target (₹5,467). We weight each by its reliability and skip any method whose inputs look untrustworthy — "no DCF beats a wrong DCF". This is the same deterministic engine that powers DocStoX stock pages; there is no guesswork or AI-generated number here.

Bear, base and bull scenarios

Our scenarios span ₹1,372 (bear) to ₹3,583 (base) to ₹7,602 (bull). A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the base case — the wider the gap, the more room for error in the assumptions.

Margin of safety

Value investors demand a margin of safety — a discount to intrinsic value that protects against being wrong. At ₹4,799 versus an intrinsic value of ₹3,583, HINDUSTAN AERONAUTICS LTD currently offers -25.3% of negative margin (i.e. a premium).

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DocStoX estimates are generated by a deterministic valuation engine from reported financials — for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.