HDFC BANK LTD Fair Value

HDFCBANK · Financial Services · Current price ₹819.6

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DocStoX fair value
₹412
medium confidence
Current price
₹820
Upside to fair value
-49.8%
Verdict
Avoid
Quality score
5.0 / 10
Valuation methods
MethodFair valueStatus
Excess-return (book value)₹38414% ROE fading to 13% over ~3 yrs, on ₹378 book
Relative P/E₹486EPS × 9.8 peer-median P/E
Graham floorNot meaningful for financials
Analyst targetNo analyst coverage
Model it yourself — Margin of Safety Calculator
Opens pre-filled with HDFC BANK LTD's latest numbers.

Is HDFC BANK LTD undervalued?

DocStoX estimates the fair value of HDFC BANK LTD at ₹412 per share, versus the current market price of ₹820. That puts the stock about -49.8% above our fair-value estimate, which we read as "Avoid". Our confidence in this estimate is medium.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate blends 2 independent methods: Excess-return (book value) (₹384), Relative P/E (₹486). We weight each by its reliability and skip any method whose inputs look untrustworthy — "no DCF beats a wrong DCF". This is the same deterministic engine that powers DocStoX stock pages; there is no guesswork or AI-generated number here.

Bear, base and bull scenarios

Our scenarios span ₹350 (bear) to ₹412 (base) to ₹486 (bull). A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the base case — the wider the gap, the more room for error in the assumptions.

More on HDFC BANK LTD

DocStoX estimates are generated by a deterministic valuation engine from reported financials — for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.