Hikal Limited DCF Valuation
HIKAL · Healthcare · Current price ₹216
Hikal Limited cash-flow valuation
Our discounted cash flow (2-stage) values Hikal Limited at ₹80 per share. Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path. It carries 70% of the weight in our published estimate of ₹80. A discounted cash flow is only as good as the cash-flow path it assumes, so the assumptions behind it are listed in full below.
Try your own assumptions
Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with Hikal Limited's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.
How we got this fair value
Every number below is part of the same estimate for Hikal Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
The inputs are thin or the models disagree sharply. This is our least reliable kind of estimate, so read the range rather than the single number.
Estimate range ₹72 – ₹88
Why this method for this business
The DCF model is appropriate for valuing a pharmaceutical company with stable cash flows, while EV/EBITDA provides a market-based multiple for comparison.
The models behind the number
Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.
Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path
required inputs missing
- relative_pe: insufficient data on peer multiples
- ev_ebitda: used as a secondary model despite data gaps
What was missing
- Lack of forward EBITDA margins
- Insufficient peer multiple data for EV/EBITDA
What drives it
12 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
- FCF_0 (normalized)
- 71 ₹cr
- Net debt
- 684 ₹cr
fcf_norm (median ≤5y positive)
gross debt (cash n/a)
- Discount rate (r)
- 13.28%
- Beta
- 0.85
COE (building-block)
bottom-up industry
- Stage-1 start growth
- 8%
- Fade shape
- hard
- Terminal growth (g)
- 4.93%
- Stage-1 years
- 12 y
lifecycle-floor
lifecycle Startup
macro terminal × quality premium
lifecycle Startup horizon
- Lifecycle stage
- Startup
- Quality premium
- 0.986×
forecast engine (L20)
moat None + capital allocation
- Path
- FCFE
- Terminal-value fraction
- 0.409
computed (D/E vs 0.8)
PV_TV / (PV_1+PV_TV)
Who computed this
A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Hikal Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.
Estimated 15 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.
How we value stocks
We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.
Read the full fair-value methodologyMore on Hikal Limited
DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.