The Indian Hotels Company Limited DCF Valuation

INDHOTEL · Consumer Services · Current price ₹772.1

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DocStoX fair value
₹856
medium confidence · 65/100
Current price
₹719
Upside to fair value
+19.1%
Estimate range
₹770 – ₹942
Cash-flow model
₹98
Residual income (excess return on book)
5Y profit growth
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The Indian Hotels Company Limited cash-flow valuation

Our residual income (excess return on book) values The Indian Hotels Company Limited at ₹98 per share. implied value is <0.2× the price (likely a data error). A discounted cash flow is only as good as the cash-flow path it assumes, so the assumptions behind it are listed in full below.

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Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with The Indian Hotels Company Limited's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for The Indian Hotels Company Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence65/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹770 – ₹942

Why this method for this business

Relative P/E is appropriate for a diversified, asset-light hospitality franchise with a durable moat. Residual income complements this by capturing the value of book value growth and excess returns.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Fair multiple (P/E)
₹85670% weight
Residual income (excess return on book)(rejected)
₹98

implied value is <0.2× the price (likely a data error)

  • dcf: Not suitable for a cyclical, capital-intensive business with uncertain cash flows and high leverage

What was missing

  • Lack of forward EPS estimates for 2027
  • Limited analyst coverage and dispersion data

What drives it

15 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
Sector-median P/E
41.46×

peer-median

Peers used
5

peer-median

EPS (TTM)
15.07 ₹/share

computed

Own-history median P/E
45.94×

reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Term: quality
-6.8%

quality 41/100 (weak/erratic returns) → discount

Term: growth
+13.8%

durable ~22% CAGR (ROCE 7% < 12% hurdle (growth not value-accretive)) → premium

Term: capital_allocation
+13.6%

capital allocation: rising ROCE funded by strong FCF → premium

Term: financial_strength
+8.8%

financial strength: effectively debt-free → premium

Term: history
+3.2%

history: market paid +11% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)

Term: sector_rerating
+0.0%

sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used

Term: rate_regime
+1.2%

rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple

Term: risk
+0.0%

risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Premium vs sector
+37.0%

fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)

Fair-multiple confidence
77%

data completeness + term agreement

Fair P/E
56.8×

sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for The Indian Hotels Company Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

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DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.