INDIAN RAIL TOUR CORP LTD Fair Value
IRCTC · Consumer Services · Current price ₹474
| Method | Fair value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Residual income | ₹143 | 32% ROE fading to 12% over ~20 yrs, on ₹46 book |
| Relative P/E | — | Needs ≥3 peers with P/E |
| Graham floor | ₹134 | Conservative floor: √(22.5 × EPS × book value/share) |
| Analyst target | ₹612 | Street consensus 12-month target price |
Is INDIAN RAIL TOUR CORP LTD undervalued?
DocStoX estimates the fair value of INDIAN RAIL TOUR CORP LTD at ₹251 per share, versus the current market price of ₹474. That puts the stock about -47.1% above our fair-value estimate, which we read as "Avoid". Our confidence in this estimate is low.
How this fair value is calculated
This estimate blends 3 independent methods: Residual income (₹143), Graham floor (₹134), Analyst target (₹612). We weight each by its reliability and skip any method whose inputs look untrustworthy — "no DCF beats a wrong DCF". This is the same deterministic engine that powers DocStoX stock pages; there is no guesswork or AI-generated number here.
Bear, base and bull scenarios
Our scenarios span ₹134 (bear) to ₹251 (base) to ₹612 (bull). A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the base case — the wider the gap, the more room for error in the assumptions.
More on INDIAN RAIL TOUR CORP LTD
DocStoX estimates are generated by a deterministic valuation engine from reported financials — for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.