NTPC LTD Fair Value

NTPC · Power · Current price ₹326.8

Full stock page
DocStoX fair value
₹422
low confidence
Current price
₹327
Upside to fair value
+29.1%
Verdict
Buy
Quality score
4.6 / 10
Valuation methods
MethodFair valueStatus
Residual income₹20714% ROE fading to 15% over ~3 yrs, on ₹210 book
Relative P/E₹895EPS × 32.1 peer-median P/E
Graham floor₹363Conservative floor: √(22.5 × EPS × book value/share)
Analyst target₹434Street consensus 12-month target price
Model it yourself — Margin of Safety Calculator
Opens pre-filled with NTPC LTD's latest numbers.

Is NTPC LTD undervalued?

DocStoX estimates the fair value of NTPC LTD at ₹422 per share, versus the current market price of ₹327. That puts the stock about +29.1% below our fair-value estimate, which we read as "Buy". Our confidence in this estimate is low.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate blends 4 independent methods: Residual income (₹207), Relative P/E (₹895), Graham floor (₹363), Analyst target (₹434). We weight each by its reliability and skip any method whose inputs look untrustworthy — "no DCF beats a wrong DCF". This is the same deterministic engine that powers DocStoX stock pages; there is no guesswork or AI-generated number here.

Bear, base and bull scenarios

Our scenarios span ₹207 (bear) to ₹422 (base) to ₹895 (bull). A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the base case — the wider the gap, the more room for error in the assumptions.

More on NTPC LTD

DocStoX estimates are generated by a deterministic valuation engine from reported financials — for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.