Rallis India Limited DCF Valuation

RALLIS · Chemicals · Current price ₹205.9

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DocStoX fair value
₹225
medium confidence · 59/100
Current price
₹202
Upside to fair value
+11.4%
Estimate range
₹171 – ₹253
5Y profit growth
-4.3%
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Rallis India Limited cash-flow valuation

Our engine did not use a discounted-cash-flow model for Rallis India Limited. It routes each business to the methods that suit it, and a DCF is a poor lens where cash-flow forecasts are fragile or the business is capital-structure driven. The methods it did use, and why, are set out below. Our published estimate is ₹225.

Try your own assumptions

Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with Rallis India Limited's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Rallis India Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence59/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹171 – ₹253

Why this method for this business

Normalized earnings and relative PE are the most appropriate models for a cyclical business like Rallis India, which operates in the pesticides and agrochemicals sector. These models align with the company's mid-cycle earnings and sector-based valuation.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Normalized earnings (mid-cycle EV/EBITDA)
₹25370% weight

Cyclical valued off mid-cycle earnings and a through-cycle EV/EBITDA (§6.6)

Fair multiple (P/E)
₹17130% weight
  • ev_ebitda was excluded due to insufficient data quality and lack of clear EV/EBITDA multiples for the sector

What was missing

  • Lack of forward EBITDA margin data
  • Insufficient analyst coverage for EV/EBITDA multiples

What drives it

22 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
Revenue (TTM)
2,896.7 ₹ cr

computed

Net debt
48.2 ₹ cr

computed

Shares outstanding
19,00,00,000

computed

Sector-median P/E
16.73×

peer-median

Peers used
10

peer-median

EPS (TTM)
11.01 ₹/share

computed

Own-history median P/E
28.17×

reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
EBITDA margin (cycle median)
11%

computed (≤5y median)

Through-cycle EV/EBITDA
15.21×

own-history (median of 5y)

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Term: quality
-6.0%

quality 43/100 (weak/erratic returns) → discount

Term: growth
-20.9%

weak ~-0% CAGR (ROCE 17% > hurdle) → discount

Term: capital_allocation
-5.7%

capital allocation: falling ROCE / weak cash generation → discount

Term: financial_strength
+8.5%

financial strength: effectively debt-free → premium

Term: history
+20.5%

history: market paid +68% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)

Term: sector_rerating
+0.0%

sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used

Term: rate_regime
+1.2%

rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple

Term: risk
+0.0%

risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Mid-cycle EBITDA
318.6 ₹ cr

computed

Enterprise value
4,846.3 ₹ cr

computed

Premium vs sector
-7.2%

fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)

Fair-multiple confidence
70%

data completeness + term agreement

Fair P/E
15.52×

sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Rallis India Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 15 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Rallis India Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.