RAIL VIKAS NIGAM LIMITED Intrinsic Value

RVNL · Construction · Current price ₹205.07

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DocStoX fair value
₹104
low confidence
Current price
₹205
Upside to fair value
-49.3%
Verdict
Avoid
Quality score
2.4 / 10
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Is RAIL VIKAS NIGAM LIMITED undervalued?

DocStoX estimates the fair value of RAIL VIKAS NIGAM LIMITED at ₹104 per share, versus the current market price of ₹205. That puts the stock about -49.3% above our fair-value estimate, which we read as "Avoid". Our confidence in this estimate is low.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate blends 4 independent methods: Residual income (₹41), Relative P/E (₹137), Graham floor (₹67), Analyst target (₹250). We weight each by its reliability and skip any method whose inputs look untrustworthy — "no DCF beats a wrong DCF". This is the same deterministic engine that powers DocStoX stock pages; there is no guesswork or AI-generated number here.

Bear, base and bull scenarios

Our scenarios span ₹41 (bear) to ₹104 (base) to ₹250 (bull). A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the base case — the wider the gap, the more room for error in the assumptions.

Margin of safety

Value investors demand a margin of safety — a discount to intrinsic value that protects against being wrong. At ₹205 versus an intrinsic value of ₹104, RAIL VIKAS NIGAM LIMITED currently offers -49.3% of negative margin (i.e. a premium).

More on RAIL VIKAS NIGAM LIMITED

DocStoX estimates are generated by a deterministic valuation engine from reported financials — for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.