Satin Creditcare Network Limited DCF Valuation
SATIN · Financial Services · Current price ₹230.86
Satin Creditcare Network Limited cash-flow valuation
Our residual income (excess return on book) values Satin Creditcare Network Limited at ₹238 per share. Book value plus the present value of returns earned above the 10.6% cost of equity. It carries 30% of the weight in our published estimate of ₹320. A discounted cash flow is only as good as the cash-flow path it assumes, so the assumptions behind it are listed in full below.
Try your own assumptions
Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with Satin Creditcare Network Limited's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.
How we got this fair value
Every number below is part of the same estimate for Satin Creditcare Network Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.
Estimate range ₹238 – ₹352
Why this method for this business
Relative P/E and residual income models are most appropriate for a financial services firm with a narrow moat and cyclical earnings patterns.
The models behind the number
Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.
Book value plus the present value of returns earned above the 10.6% cost of equity
- dcf: DCF is not suitable for a financial institution with high leverage and volatile earnings
- normalized book value is not a good proxy for a financial institution with high debt
What was missing
- Lack of forward-looking analyst estimates
- Limited data on the company's credit quality
What drives it
21 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
- Sector-median P/E
- 20.82×
- Peers used
- 10
- EPS (TTM)
- 37.09 ₹/share
- Own-history median P/E
- 5.33×
- ROE (normalized)
- 7.5%
- Book value / share
- 259 ₹
peer-median
peer-median
computed
reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)
computed
reported
- Cost of equity
- 10.6%
building-block
- Anchor correction
- peer anchor 20.8x diverges 0.3x from 5yr own-history 5.3x (no size-comparable peer) — anchor blended 0.6 toward own-history → 11.5x
- Term: quality
- -6.5%
- Term: growth
- +24.6%
- Term: capital_allocation
- -6.0%
- Term: financial_strength
- -12.0%
- Term: history
- -16.1%
- Term: sector_rerating
- +0.0%
- Term: rate_regime
- +1.2%
- Term: risk
- +0.0%
- Moat
- None
- Excess-return horizon
- 3 yrs
peer-anchor mismatch — deep own-history used instead
quality 42/100 (weak/erratic returns) → discount
durable ~14% CAGR (ROCE 14% > hurdle) → premium
capital allocation: falling ROCE / weak cash generation → discount
financial strength: high leverage (D/E 3.7) → discount
history: market paid -54% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)
sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used
rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple
risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)
computed
computed
- Premium vs sector
- -18.1%
- Fair-multiple confidence
- 73%
- Fair P/E
- 9.43×
fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)
data completeness + term agreement
sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple
Who computed this
A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Satin Creditcare Network Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.
Estimated 15 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.
How we value stocks
We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.
Read the full fair-value methodologyMore on Satin Creditcare Network Limited
DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.