Satin Creditcare Network Limited Intrinsic Value

SATIN · Financial Services · Current price ₹230.86

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DocStoX fair value
₹320
medium confidence · 65/100
Current price
₹217
Upside to fair value
+47.7%
Estimate range
₹238 – ₹352
Quality score
4.7 / 10
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Is Satin Creditcare Network Limited undervalued?

We estimate the fair value of Satin Creditcare Network Limited at ₹320 per share, against a market price of ₹217. That puts the share price about +47.7% below our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate comes from 2 methods: Fair multiple (P/E) (₹350), Residual income (excess return on book) (₹238). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.

The range around this estimate

Our estimate for Satin Creditcare Network Limited spans ₹238 to ₹352. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.

Margin of safety

Value investors look for a margin of safety: a discount to estimated value that absorbs being wrong. At ₹217 against an estimated value of ₹320, Satin Creditcare Network Limited trades at +47.7%, i.e. a discount to our estimate. How much margin to demand depends on how much you trust the inputs, which is what the confidence band below is for.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Satin Creditcare Network Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence65/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹238 – ₹352

Why this method for this business

Relative P/E and residual income models are most appropriate for a financial services firm with a narrow moat and cyclical earnings patterns.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Fair multiple (P/E)
₹35070% weight
Residual income (excess return on book)
₹23830% weight

Book value plus the present value of returns earned above the 10.6% cost of equity

  • dcf: DCF is not suitable for a financial institution with high leverage and volatile earnings
  • normalized book value is not a good proxy for a financial institution with high debt

What was missing

  • Lack of forward-looking analyst estimates
  • Limited data on the company's credit quality

What drives it

21 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
Sector-median P/E
20.82×

peer-median

Peers used
10

peer-median

EPS (TTM)
37.09 ₹/share

computed

Own-history median P/E
5.33×

reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)

ROE (normalized)
7.5%

computed

Book value / share
259 ₹

reported

MacroEconomy-wide input, not company-specific.
Cost of equity
10.6%

building-block

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Anchor correction
peer anchor 20.8x diverges 0.3x from 5yr own-history 5.3x (no size-comparable peer) — anchor blended 0.6 toward own-history → 11.5x

peer-anchor mismatch — deep own-history used instead

Term: quality
-6.5%

quality 42/100 (weak/erratic returns) → discount

Term: growth
+24.6%

durable ~14% CAGR (ROCE 14% > hurdle) → premium

Term: capital_allocation
-6.0%

capital allocation: falling ROCE / weak cash generation → discount

Term: financial_strength
-12.0%

financial strength: high leverage (D/E 3.7) → discount

Term: history
-16.1%

history: market paid -54% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)

Term: sector_rerating
+0.0%

sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used

Term: rate_regime
+1.2%

rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple

Term: risk
+0.0%

risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)

Moat
None

computed

Excess-return horizon
3 yrs

computed

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Premium vs sector
-18.1%

fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)

Fair-multiple confidence
73%

data completeness + term agreement

Fair P/E
9.43×

sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Satin Creditcare Network Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 15 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Satin Creditcare Network Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.