Sun TV Network Limited DCF Valuation

SUNTV · Media Entertainment & Publication · Current price ₹638

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DocStoX fair value
₹443
medium confidence · 55/100
Current price
₹476
Upside to fair value
-6.9%
Estimate range
₹384 – ₹594
Cash-flow model
₹384
Discounted cash flow (2-stage) · 70% weight
5Y profit growth
-1.1%
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Sun TV Network Limited cash-flow valuation

Our discounted cash flow (2-stage) values Sun TV Network Limited at ₹384 per share. Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path. It carries 70% of the weight in our published estimate of ₹443. A discounted cash flow is only as good as the cash-flow path it assumes, so the assumptions behind it are listed in full below.

Try your own assumptions

Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with Sun TV Network Limited's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Sun TV Network Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence55/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹384 – ₹594

Why this method for this business

Sun TV Network is an asset-light media company with strong brand equity and a durable moat. DCF and relative PE are the most appropriate models for valuing such a business, as they capture intrinsic value and relative performance against peers.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Discounted cash flow (2-stage)
₹38470% weight

Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path

Fair multiple (P/E)
₹59430% weight
  • residual_income: Not suitable for an asset-light media business where book value is not a strong indicator of intrinsic value

What was missing

  • Lack of forward-looking analyst estimates for key financial metrics
  • Limited data on the company's content production and distribution costs
  • Insufficient information on the impact of regulatory changes on the business model

What drives it

28 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
FCF_0 (normalized)
1,242 ₹cr

fcf_norm (median ≤5y positive)

Net debt
106 ₹cr

gross debt (cash n/a)

Sector-median P/E
26.11×

peer-median

Peers used
3

peer-median

EPS (TTM)
38.8 ₹/share

computed

Own-history median P/E
12.15×

reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)

MacroEconomy-wide input, not company-specific.
Discount rate (r)
14.03%

COE (building-block)

Beta
0.95

bottom-up industry

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
Stage-1 start growth
5.38%

pat_cagr_5y

Fade shape
linear

lifecycle Mature

Terminal growth (g)
5.38%

macro terminal × quality premium

Stage-1 years
9 y

lifecycle Mature horizon

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Lifecycle stage
Mature

forecast engine (L20)

Quality premium
1.076×

moat Narrow + capital allocation

Anchor correction
peer anchor 26.1x diverges 0.5x from 7yr own-history 12.2x (no size-comparable peer) — anchor blended 0.6 toward own-history → 17.7x

peer-anchor mismatch — deep own-history used instead

Term: quality
+1.8%

quality 62/100 (high, stable returns) → premium (ROCE deteriorating → premium halved)

Term: growth
-13.4%

weak ~3% CAGR (ROCE 29% > hurdle) → discount

Term: capital_allocation
-2.9%

capital allocation: falling ROCE / weak cash generation → discount

Term: financial_strength
+10.0%

financial strength: effectively debt-free → premium

Term: history
-9.4%

history: market paid -31% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)

Term: sector_rerating
+0.0%

sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used

Term: rate_regime
+1.2%

rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple

Term: risk
+0.0%

risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Path
FCFE

computed (D/E vs 0.8)

Terminal-value fraction
0.492

PV_TV / (PV_1+PV_TV)

Premium vs sector
-13.6%

fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)

Fair-multiple confidence
67%

data completeness + term agreement

Fair P/E
15.32×

sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Sun TV Network Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Sun TV Network Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.