Muthoot Microfin Limited Fair Value

MUTHOOTMF · Financial Services · Current price ₹174.76

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DocStoX fair value
₹173
medium confidence · 59/100
Current price
₹196
Upside to fair value
-12.0%
Estimate range
₹149 – ₹222
Quality score
3.8 / 10
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Is Muthoot Microfin Limited undervalued?

We estimate the fair value of Muthoot Microfin Limited at ₹173 per share, against a market price of ₹196. That puts the share price about -12.0% above our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate comes from 2 methods: Residual income (excess return on book) (₹149), Relative P/B (₹222). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.

The range around this estimate

Our estimate for Muthoot Microfin Limited spans ₹149 to ₹222. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Muthoot Microfin Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence59/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹149 – ₹222

Why this method for this business

Residual income and relative P/B are the most appropriate models for a microfinance institution, as they reflect the capital-intensive nature of the business and the importance of book value and peer comparisons.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Residual income (excess return on book)
₹14970% weight

Book value plus the present value of returns earned above the 10.6% cost of equity

Relative P/B
₹22230% weight
  • justified_pb is rejected due to its low implied value relative to current price
  • DCF is not used as it is not suitable for a capital-intensive NBFC

What was missing

  • Lack of forward EBITDA estimates
  • Limited peer data for precise P/B comparisons

What drives it

8 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
ROE (normalized)
6.2%

computed

Book value / share
167.8 ₹

reported

Peer-median P/B
1.32×

peer-median

Peers used
417

peer-median

Book value / share
167.77 ₹/share

computed

MacroEconomy-wide input, not company-specific.
Cost of equity
10.6%

building-block

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Moat
None

computed

Excess-return horizon
3 yrs

computed

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Muthoot Microfin Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 15 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Muthoot Microfin Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.