NATIONAL FERT. LTD Fair Value
NFL · Chemicals · Current price ₹72.56
| Method | Fair value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Residual income | ₹53 | 8% ROE fading to 15% over ~3 yrs, on ₹58 book |
| Relative P/E | ₹68 | EPS × 15.9 peer-median P/E |
| Graham floor | ₹75 | Conservative floor: √(22.5 × EPS × book value/share) |
| Analyst target | — | No analyst coverage |
Is NATIONAL FERT. LTD undervalued?
DocStoX estimates the fair value of NATIONAL FERT. LTD at ₹62 per share, versus the current market price of ₹73. That puts the stock about -14.7% above our fair-value estimate, which we read as "Expensive". Our confidence in this estimate is medium.
How this fair value is calculated
This estimate blends 3 independent methods: Residual income (₹53), Relative P/E (₹68), Graham floor (₹75). We weight each by its reliability and skip any method whose inputs look untrustworthy — "no DCF beats a wrong DCF". This is the same deterministic engine that powers DocStoX stock pages; there is no guesswork or AI-generated number here.
Bear, base and bull scenarios
Our scenarios span ₹53 (bear) to ₹62 (base) to ₹75 (bull). A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the base case — the wider the gap, the more room for error in the assumptions.
More on NATIONAL FERT. LTD
DocStoX estimates are generated by a deterministic valuation engine from reported financials — for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.