NATIONAL FERT. LTD Intrinsic Value

NFL · Chemicals · Current price ₹70.39

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DocStoX fair value
₹62
medium confidence
Current price
₹70
Upside to fair value
-12.1%
Verdict
Expensive
Quality score
2.5 / 10
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Is NATIONAL FERT. LTD undervalued?

DocStoX estimates the fair value of NATIONAL FERT. LTD at ₹62 per share, versus the current market price of ₹70. That puts the stock about -12.1% above our fair-value estimate, which we read as "Expensive". Our confidence in this estimate is medium.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate blends 3 independent methods: Residual income (₹53), Relative P/E (₹68), Graham floor (₹75). We weight each by its reliability and skip any method whose inputs look untrustworthy — "no DCF beats a wrong DCF". This is the same deterministic engine that powers DocStoX stock pages; there is no guesswork or AI-generated number here.

Bear, base and bull scenarios

Our scenarios span ₹53 (bear) to ₹62 (base) to ₹75 (bull). A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the base case — the wider the gap, the more room for error in the assumptions.

Margin of safety

Value investors demand a margin of safety — a discount to intrinsic value that protects against being wrong. At ₹70 versus an intrinsic value of ₹62, NATIONAL FERT. LTD currently offers -12.1% of negative margin (i.e. a premium).

More on NATIONAL FERT. LTD

DocStoX estimates are generated by a deterministic valuation engine from reported financials — for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.