Thomas Cook (India) Limited DCF Valuation

THOMASCOOK · Consumer Services · Current price ₹101.9

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DocStoX fair value
₹78
low confidence · 43/100
Current price
₹109
Upside to fair value
-28.2%
Estimate range
₹70 – ₹86
Cash-flow model
₹78
Discounted cash flow (2-stage) · 100% weight
5Y profit growth
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Thomas Cook (India) Limited cash-flow valuation

Our discounted cash flow (2-stage) values Thomas Cook (India) Limited at ₹78 per share. Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path. It carries 100% of the weight in our published estimate of ₹78. A discounted cash flow is only as good as the cash-flow path it assumes, so the assumptions behind it are listed in full below.

Try your own assumptions

Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with Thomas Cook (India) Limited's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Thomas Cook (India) Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Low confidence43/100

The inputs are thin or the models disagree sharply. This is our least reliable kind of estimate, so read the range rather than the single number.

Estimate range ₹70 – ₹86

Why this method for this business

DCF is the most appropriate model for Thomas Cook (India) Ltd, given its asset-light structure and focus on earnings power. The model captures the intrinsic value of the business through discounted cash flows, which aligns with its consumer discretionary nature.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Discounted cash flow (2-stage)
₹78100% weight

Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path

  • ev_sales: Not applicable for an asset-light business with no clear revenue multiples; EV/Sales lacks relevance for a travel and financial services company with fluctuating revenue streams.

What was missing

  • Lack of forward-looking analyst estimates for certain periods
  • Limited data on long-term growth prospects beyond the forecast horizon

What drives it

12 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
FCF_0 (normalized)
344 ₹cr

fcf_norm (median ≤5y positive)

Net debt
539 ₹cr

gross debt (cash n/a)

MacroEconomy-wide input, not company-specific.
Discount rate (r)
14.78%

COE (building-block)

Beta
1.05

bottom-up industry

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
Stage-1 start growth
5%

pat_cagr_5y

Fade shape
hard

lifecycle Hyper-Growth

Terminal growth (g)
5%

macro terminal × quality premium

Stage-1 years
12 y

lifecycle Hyper-Growth horizon

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Lifecycle stage
Hyper-Growth

forecast engine (L20)

Quality premium
1×

moat None + capital allocation

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Path
FCFE

computed (D/E vs 0.8)

Terminal-value fraction
0.344

PV_TV / (PV_1+PV_TV)

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Thomas Cook (India) Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Thomas Cook (India) Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.