Thomas Cook (India) Limited Valuation

THOMASCOOK · Consumer Services · Current price ₹101.9

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DocStoX fair value
₹78
low confidence · 43/100
Current price
₹109
Upside to fair value
-28.2%
Estimate range
₹70 – ₹86
P/E ratio
21.7x
P/B ratio
2.7x
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Is Thomas Cook (India) Limited undervalued?

We estimate the fair value of Thomas Cook (India) Limited at ₹78 per share, against a market price of ₹109. That puts the share price about -28.2% above our estimate, at low confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate comes from 1 method: Discounted cash flow (2-stage) (₹78). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.

The range around this estimate

Our estimate for Thomas Cook (India) Limited spans ₹70 to ₹86. That range is wide, which is the honest signal here: read the range rather than the single number. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.

Valuation multiples

Thomas Cook (India) Limited trades at a P/E of 21.7x and a P/B of 2.7x, with a dividend yield of 0.5%. Multiples are most useful compared against the company's own history and its sector peers — see the peer comparison for context.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Thomas Cook (India) Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Low confidence43/100

The inputs are thin or the models disagree sharply. This is our least reliable kind of estimate, so read the range rather than the single number.

Estimate range ₹70 – ₹86

Why this method for this business

DCF is the most appropriate model for Thomas Cook (India) Ltd, given its asset-light structure and focus on earnings power. The model captures the intrinsic value of the business through discounted cash flows, which aligns with its consumer discretionary nature.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Discounted cash flow (2-stage)
₹78100% weight

Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path

  • ev_sales: Not applicable for an asset-light business with no clear revenue multiples; EV/Sales lacks relevance for a travel and financial services company with fluctuating revenue streams.

What was missing

  • Lack of forward-looking analyst estimates for certain periods
  • Limited data on long-term growth prospects beyond the forecast horizon

What drives it

12 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
FCF_0 (normalized)
344 ₹cr

fcf_norm (median ≤5y positive)

Net debt
539 ₹cr

gross debt (cash n/a)

MacroEconomy-wide input, not company-specific.
Discount rate (r)
14.78%

COE (building-block)

Beta
1.05

bottom-up industry

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
Stage-1 start growth
5%

pat_cagr_5y

Fade shape
hard

lifecycle Hyper-Growth

Terminal growth (g)
5%

macro terminal × quality premium

Stage-1 years
12 y

lifecycle Hyper-Growth horizon

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Lifecycle stage
Hyper-Growth

forecast engine (L20)

Quality premium
1×

moat None + capital allocation

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Path
FCFE

computed (D/E vs 0.8)

Terminal-value fraction
0.344

PV_TV / (PV_1+PV_TV)

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Thomas Cook (India) Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

Understand the ratios

More on Thomas Cook (India) Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.